Most of the media and many people accept the catastrophic global warming hypothesis of the UN IPCC. But, it is obvious to any scientist that the methodology of the IPCC is flawed regardless of what one thinks about the global warming hypothesis. For example, consensus plays no role in science, and nothing in science is ever "settled." Most people do not understand the scientific method; the article referenced below gives a good description of the method and how is is not being properly applied by the UN IPCC.
http://www.quadrant.org.au/magazine/issue/2008/451/the-futile-quest-for-climate-control
Political Angst In America
Monday, November 17, 2008
If a person points out that black people on average have an IQ almost one standard deviation lower than white people (87 compared to 100), something that is factually correct, then liberals would proclaim that person a racist., However, if one were to point out that Jews have on average an IQ about one standard deviation higher than other white people (112 compared to 100) of than Northeast Asians have an average IQ of 106 compared to 1000 for white people, that would be OK. Considering this one might reasonably conclude that liberals are racists who discriminate against white people. Given these numbers it is no surprise that Jews have earned so many Nobel Prizes in the sciences despite their small numbers, while few blacks have made such achievements despite their relatively large numbers. There is a fundamental problem here that policy makers have been unable to deal with. Blaming white people for the plight of black people seems to be the preferred policy of liberals, a policy that has obviously failed. Here is a comment on this by Walter Williams, one of my favorite commentators:
"The fact that the nation elected a black president hopefully might turn our attention away from the false notion that discrimination explains the problems of a large segment of the black community to the real problems that have absolutely nothing to do with discrimination. The illegitimacy rate among blacks stands at about 70 percent. Less than 40 percent of black children are raised in two-parent households. Those are major problems but they have nothing to do with racial discrimination. During the early 1900s, illegitimacy was a tiny fraction of today's rate and black families were just as stable as white families. Fraudulent education is another problem, where the average black high school senior can read, write and compute no better than a white seventh-grader. It can hardly be blamed on discrimination. Black schools receive the same funding as white schools and most of the teachers and staffs are black and the schools are often in cities where the mayor and the city council are mostly black. Crime is a major problem. Blacks commit about 50 percent of all homicides and 95 percent of their victims are blacks. Tragically, many black politicians and a civil rights industry have a vested interest in portraying the poor socioeconomic outcomes for many blacks as problems rooted in racial discrimination. One of the reasons they are able to get away with such deception is because there are so many guilt-ridden white people." --columnist Walter Williams
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Obama said some things during the election campaign that one would have thought that McCain would have exploited. Here is an example:
http://minx.cc/?post=278181
I respect him, but I never liked McCain, and feel he did not try very hard to get elected. McCain should have pointed out that one of the first things dictators do is get an army that is loyal to then rather than the nation.
My son went to a gun show today. He said it was crowded and they were about sold out of ammunition. Obama has made some gun owners nervous.
Friday, November 14, 2008
Here is an article by Melanie Phillips about how Great Britain has entered the age of barbarism. Great Britain is ahead of us, but with Barack Obama and the Democrats we have reached the tipping point (not that McCain was much better in regard to political correctness and multiculturalism).
http://www.spectator.co.uk/print/melaniephillips/2680221/an-age-of-barbarism.thtml
President Bush will soon be out of office, and then we will begin to learn the truth about Iraq that has been suppressed by the media.
http://www.floppingaces.net/2008/11/13/cia-agents-confirm-al-queda-was-in-iraq-in-before-invasion/#more-12516
When a Republican gets in trouble for some sex thing it is a major news story. When it is a Democrat the media deem it to not be newsworthy. (Censoring the news for us is one of the reasons they make the big bucks.) Now another one of Barbara Boxer's current aides is in trouble over child pornography. Her former chief is about to go to prison for the same thing. These are Democrats, so ho-hum, move along, there's nothing to see here.
http://www.floppingaces.net/2008/11/14/democrat-staffer-arrested-for-child-porn-media-quiet/
Rahm Emanuel has apologized for his Dad's remarks. (His Dad was a Mossad agent, so I guess it is no surprise that he doesn't like Arabs. Too bad that Rahm had to say anything. Bill Clinton could have done it for him; Bill loved to apologize for things he had nothing to do with, like slavery: but not for things he actually did. I don't think we should apologize to people who chant "Death to America." Liberals say that the Muslims don't really mean it. I suppose it is just because I am a Texan, but when someone says they want to kill me, I believe them.
http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/emanuel_apology/2008/11/13/151128.html?s=al&promo_code=713A-1
Thursday, November 13, 2008
The Delta Force strikes again:
http://www.armytimes.com/news/2008/11/military_air_rescue_110708WEB/
I wonder if this sort of thing will continue under Obama. I'm certain that his liberal supporters would like it stopped. They would just pay the ransom. They wouldn't be liberals if they believed that you get more of what you reward and less of what you punish. We can hope that Rahm Emmanuel, who's Dad was a Mossad agent, understands how to deal with terrorists. At least his background gives us some reason to hope.
One of the biggest problems with the Big 3 American automakers is that they have to deal with the UAW, and their managements have consistently given in to ridiculous union demands. Union rules require that more workers than needed be used on assembly lines, based on the number of workers used by Toyota and others automakers in the US. Then, workers at GM get paid 50 to 100% more than what workers in comparable jobs earn, and on top of that GM pays large numbers of employees at closed plants to show up and do nothing at all. Here is a discussion of this. Can the government save the Big 3without changing their employment practices?
http://mises.org/story/2124
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
The reports that Sarah Palin didn't know the parties in NAFTA or that Africa is a continent and not a nation are obviously lies. At the same time, who would believe that Joe Biden, he with an IQ of 146, would have thought that FDR was President in 1929, or that he believed there was commercial television that year. Or, that Katie Couric was also unaware that these things were not true. In Katie's case, I guess we can cut her some slack since she is a TV personality, not a real journalist. But, we should expect better from a guy who has been in the Senate as long as Biden. But, perhaps the media cut Joe some slack also since he sometimes confuses his biography with that of Neil Kinnock.
Obama says that he would like to spend $150 billion over ten years to create 5 million "green" jobs. This is obviously bogus to anyone who can do some simple math. If the jobs pay $80,000 per year, then over ten years the payroll for five million jobs would be $2 trillion. There is probably an assumption that all of those people are going to produce something useful that would be sold to generate income. That could be true, but there would also be a capital requirement to produce energy or whatever the "green" product is. The capital investemtn for green stuff is around $5000 per kW at a minimum. (Actually, in Great Britain the cost of "green" energy is about 10 times what was originaly estimated. But I assume that all of the clever people Obama will employ will figure out how to be competitive with capital requiremnets for conventional energy sources.) If Obama wants to replace 20% of the US electricity generation capacity, a number that I have seen mentioned, that is about 200,000 MW. So, the capital cost would be another $1 trillion. Assume that it would take five years to get any of this capacity installed, and ten years to get all of it installed, so about 2.5 years of of total output could be expected. "Green" power is usually not online but about 30% of the time at best. So, if the power were sold at $0.10 per kw-hr, the income would be $131 billion. Maybe Obama plans on starting with just a few people and building up to five million over time. Even with that assumption, the cost would be almost $2 trillion over ten years. So, if we assume Obama is not just flat out lying, their is some sort of political double-talk involved. But, it is a safe bet that the public doesn't undertsand the economics, so what the heck.
Here is an article that discusses the issue. The environmentalist quoted here doesn't believe Obama's number either, but doesn't think the number is important. It is the thought that counts. This is typical liberal stuff. It feels good; it doesn't matter what the outcome is.
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2008/11/obamas_plan_to_create_green_jo.html
The Democrats and their media allies have managed to demonize President Bush, a thoroughly decent man. In doing so they have damaged the standing of the United States in the opinion of most of the world. In doing so they damaged the relationship of the United States with most nations of the world for no good reason but domestic political gain, which is not a good enough reason in my view. Fortunately for the United States, Republicans are less eager to harm the United States in order to harm the Democrat Administration.
Here is a view of Bush, Obama, and change for the sake of change from across the pond.
http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/11/ten_years_of_change_in_the_uk.html
I read that one of Obama's first acts will be to ban off-shore drilling for oil. It seems to me that the price of oil started falling back when the ban on drilling was lifted back in September. Without the threat of increased supply, I suspect speculators will drive the price back up. Obama and the Democrats sometimes admit that the would like to see the price of gasoline at $10/gal. so banning drilling helps meet their goal. And, they know that as long as oil is relatively cheap, their alternative energy schemes are not economically viable. Having the price of gasoline fall $2/gal. saves Americans about $300 billion per year which would help lower income people a lot more than higher income people.
Obama is also opposed to nuclear energy, which would help provide clean power to the public at a reasonable cost. Here is an article about small nuclear reactors:
http://fabiusmaximus.wordpress.com/2008/11/11/atomic/
Monday, November 10, 2008
I saw the head of Obama's transition team (her name is Valerie Jarrett, and I think she was born in Iran, and is part of the Daley Chicago machine)interviewed on TV. She said Obama would be ready to rule on Day one. I wonder about her choice of words. Should she not have said "govern" instead of "rule?" I suspect Obama and his team believe that they will rule, that Obama will be the dictator. He certainly sounds like he thinks that as he talks about laws he is going to pass immediately.
He is also talking about bringing the prisoners from Gitmo to the US to be handled in secret "Special Courts." Once he gets those "Special Courts" set up, I suppose he will be able to put his political enemies on trial in them as well. He is a Chicago politician so anything is possible. Maybe he will have his political enemies arrested by his national police force which he envisions as being larger and better funded than the army. All would-be dictators establish a separate army loyal to him personally rather than to the nation. Hitler did it, Stalin did it, and Hugo Chevez has tried it. I suspect Obama will try to use ACORN as the foundation for his national security force. Those ACORN thugs should be good at rounding up political enemies for trial in the secret courts. I am not the only person concerned about this. Here is a comment from a Republican Congressman who has noticed Obama's dictatorial tendencies, and is concerned.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iRxZox4GFoIweckPDP1oRhKBlHOwD94CCDU00
Democrats liked to claim that President Bush was trying to become a dictator, but nothing he ever said or did supported that concern. Obama is a different kettle of fish altogether.
A while back Obama said that Hamas supporter and critic of Israel Robert Malley would not be part of his Administration. He also said the country only has one President at a time. Now Obama has sent Malley to Syria and Egypt with the message that he wants to consider their concerns. So much for Obama's promises (but we already knew that he does not keep his word). We know what the Muslims want because they have told us. They want us to become Muslims. Obama is clearly able to make the sale to many Americans. I wonder if he can sell Islam to the country. I suspect times are about to get hard for Israel as Obama works to turn Israel over to the Palestinians.
One characteristic of liberals is that they do not believe in IQ scores, except for their own exalted score, of course. (Does anyone except Joe Biden believe that Joe Biden's IQ is 146?) Liberals expect to make policy on the basis that the average IQ of all identifiable groups of people is not the same. They think that there should be as many black or Hispanic nuclear physicists as Asians, but that is just not going to happen in the real world. It takes an IQ of at least 106 to be successful in any major in college. Given that the average IQ of whites is one standard deviation (15 points)higher than black, and Asians average IQ is almost one and one-half standard deviations higher (21 or 22 points) there just aren't going to be as many black doctors and scientists percentagewise as Asiatics and whites. Politicians have a hard time dealing with this reality. Our country will suffer until they come to grips with this issue. Here is an informative discussion of this by Steve Sailer:
http://isteve.blogspot.com/2008/11/who-says-social-sciences-arent-sciences.html
The other day I read where some British Politician opined that the United States is no longer a white nation. He seemed happy about that, as are many American liberals. Whites are still the majority, but their percentage of the population is shrinking fast. Mexicans are coming in fast, and will soon be the majority in Texas. Within a few years, Mexicans will be the majority in the entire country. This pleases the liberals, who, along with blacks and Hispanics and Arabs, dislike white people. I wonder if these people have thought about this some; can they name a successful country that is controlled by blacks or Latin Americans? I can't think of one. There were some successful countries in Africa while they were run by whites. Now even South Africa is sinking into chaos. Liberals appear to be get what they have wanted in the US. I wonder if they will like it in 30 or 40 years.
I have been reading some of the exit polls from last Tuesday, and it is hard to see how McCain got 46% of the vote. It is estimated that 96% of blacks voted for Obama. And over 70% of Hispanics voted from Obama. And Jews overwhelmingly voted for Obama. Then under 30 year old went 70% for Obama. And white women went for Obama by 56 to 44%. Even white men went for Obama by a slight margin. Finally, 20% of Republicans voted for Obama. I realize that these is duplication between these groups, but just looking at the numbers, it is hard to see who McCain got 46% of the vote. It could be that someone didn't tell the exit pollsters who they actually voted for.
Sunday, November 09, 2008
A lot of the people who brought about the sub-prime loan fiasco have a new scam. This time it the carbon cap and trade system being pushed by Al Gore and Maurice Strong. The system has been in effect in Europe and is failing. But, it offers great opportunity for investment bank houses and other rent-seeking scammers including a lot of major corporations. Actually a lot of extreme environmentalists don't like carbon cap and trade because they recognize that it actually does little or nothing to reduce carbon emissions. George Bush would never go along with the cap and trade scam, but most Democrats including Obama seem to be on board. I expect Obama to issue regulations requiring cap and trade soon after taking office. This will be the final nail in the coffin of the US economy. Look for a deep depression followed by re-emergence of the dark ages. Here is an article describing the situation. The mainstream media are failing to investigate this situation at all.
http://www.capitalresearch.org/pubs/pdf/v1185475433.pdf
